A Four Year Lame Duck
Are all you political junkies excited about Super Tuesday? I am not. Not only is my man Rudy Giuliani out of the race, I do not trust John McCain to tow any sort of conservative line, and I cannot get excited about Mitt Romney no matter how hard I try. I do not get what other conservatives see in him other than he is not McCain. When I watch him give a speech or participate in a debate, I have to keep reminding myself it is not a
Saturday Night Live impersonation but the real deal, such that it is. Watch the guy sometime and tell me that is not Will Ferrell under a ton of make up.
I cannot muster any more excitement about the Democrats, either. A part of me would like to see Hillary Clinton get her clock cleaned during the primaries just to see what her future would be like. I bet she would stay a senator and probably weasel her way into the Majority Leader position before long. She could probably eat Harry Reid for breakfast once she got into full hatchet mode. She might toy with running for governor of New York to gain some executive experience before trying again. The democrats do not usually give losers a second chance, though. She will probably just finally divorce Bill and spend her days bitterly debating legislation on the Senate floor.
Barack Obama? I have already written how he gives me a Jimmy Carter vibe. I do not believe the hype. Furthermore, I think we are due for a one term, hapless presidency no matter who wins. Such things come in rough cycles and we have had sixteen years of very dominate presidents. It is about time for another Chester A. Arthur to take the reins for a term. I say that because I just cannot see the next president coming along meriting two terms. We have been on a roller coaster since 1992. After that, you want to ride the teacups a while.
I may be simplifying it too much. Let me put it this way: the last two presidents we have had profoundly shaped the attitude of the country. Obama was wrong when he said Bill Clinton was not an agent of change. It is true he never convinced us it was morning in America like Ronald Reagan did. No, Clinton donned sunglasses, blew his saxophone on
The Arsenio Hall Show, showing us he was going to be the laid back, rock and roll president. The whole country followed suit. We so fat, dumb, and happy surfing the internet, becoming day trading millionaires, and ogling heroin chic models, we did not care he financed his reelection campaign illegally with Chinese money or lied to a grand jury about taking sexual advantage of a 21 year old girl? Impeachment? No way, man. Clinton was
cool.!
There was a backlash, of course. The so Republican Revolution was fed up conservatives organized enough maker gains in the oddest of places. A Republican mayor of New York City and Los Angeles? Republican governors in California, New York, and, of all places, Massachusetts? Yes, it happened. Im a darker sense, the Clinton Administration encouraged Tim McVeigh to rebel against the government in the most brutal, traic of ways.
Then we got George w. Bush. I will confess, way back in 200, I thought he was going to be the one term breather the country got before another solid president came along. When pundits spoke of Clinton Fatigue, I figured we were all on the same wavelength. Right up until 9/11, I figured I was right. That day gave him an undeserved shot at making a name for himself. That is likely why Giuliani took a nosedive in the polls. He never really abandoned the early primaries, he just did nothing but talk about 9/11 while he was there. We already had one president run on his reputation from that day. We sure as heck did not need another.
But look what we did get with Bush after 9/11. A sense of a holy crusade against radical Muslims to the point we decided it was a great idea to invade another country unilaterally just to prove we were still big shots in the world. We wound up with a big brother style Patriot Act would have prompted folks a lot less fevered than Tim McVeigh up in arms. But we did not care and still do not. Honestly, would you call the debate over waterboarding something that grabbed the nation’s attention? No more so than anyone thinks about the Gitmo prisoners? How many of them are held there? Do you even know? Are you aware under the Geneva Convention, they can be summarily executed for being irregular fighters on a battlefield? It has been brought to our attention, but hardly anyone bats an eye over the idea. That is the Buch cowboy culture in action.
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There has been a backlash here, too. It has been a lor more muted in spite of everything, but it has been in full swing for a while.
Trust me, there will be talk of Bush fatigue come January when the new president is sworn in. Whoever it is will have a heck of a time gaining any traction. At that point, we will likely be in a recession lasting months before any solution can be put in place. With apologies to Harry Truman, Iraq policy is like riding a tiger. We do not want to stay on the ride, but we dare not get off, either. The new president will not be able to blame Bush, either. Americans have short term memories and put the blame squarely on the new guy or gal on top. These are just the foreseeable problems. Who knows what else might pop up. How well can an inexperienced first term senator, a former first lady, a 72 year old anger management therapy candidate, or a stiff, flip flopping one term governor do to inspire us to endure against all that? There is no sense in getting too excited about finding out.