Florida Primary Predictions

I doubt the outcome of Florida's primary will be a surprise to anyone. The margin of victory is likely the only unsettled point;

Mitt Romney
Newt Gingrich
Rick Santorum
Ron Paul

i explained my rationale for Romney beating Gingrich yesterday, so there is no sense in repeating it here. I do not not fresee as big a blowout for Romney as some polls are predicting, but if he does win by a huge margin, Romney is going to have a lot of momentum heading into favorable primaries and caucuses next month. With no debates for three weeks, gingrich is not going to take advantage of his campaigning strength for a while. Considering that he did not set the woods on fire in the last debate, an upcoming lull in which he will likely appear weak may do his candidacy in.

Santorum will come in third. He had pretty much given up on florida even before his daughter was hospitalized in Pennsylvania. I do not expect a sympathy surge in voting, and I will just leave it at that.

Paul will finish last and probably in the single digits percentage-wise.